Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235158           4          11          58          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103474           1          14          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.81000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.00       21.00       57.75       15.50        2.75     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6