Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232890           2          15          63          18           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101445           2          13          68          15           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.79000e-07           3          30          60           7           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.50       28.00       55.75       11.75        1.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7