Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233126           2          15          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101531           2          13          68          15           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.86000e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.50       24.50       59.00       13.00        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6