Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236327           2          14          58          22           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107367           3           4          72          18           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.01000e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                             6.50       20.75       56.25       14.50        2.00     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0