Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240560           1           6          63          23           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112551           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   6.04000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             6.25       17.25       51.75       21.50        3.25     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8