Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240785           1           5          65          24           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113017           1           5          61          30           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   5.42000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             1.75        9.50       63.50       22.25        3.00     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6