Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239273           1           4          73          17           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109440           4           3          72          20           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   4.94000e-07           3           1          61          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       11.00       64.00       19.50        2.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M4.7