Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239019           2           4          69          19           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106921           3           4          70          18           5        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.32000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       11.00       64.00       18.25        4.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1