Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237774           1           7          65          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104971           3           8          66          16           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   4.63000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.50       10.00       67.50       15.75        4.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.9