Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233611           4          15          59          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979149           4          15          55          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.47000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             4.25       21.50       56.25       16.25        1.75     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8