Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232293           3          16          59          20           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949796           2          15          53          27           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   3.34000e-07           4           7          74          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.75       20.50       57.25       17.00        1.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8