Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232292           3          16          59          20           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000948480           2          14          56          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   3.32000e-07           4           8          74          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       18.50       60.25       16.00        1.75     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8