Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231643           3          15          58          21           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938242           1          17          52          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.13000e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.00       24.50       54.00       17.00        1.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5