Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231781           3          16          58          21           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937896           1          19          52          25           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.21000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.75       24.50       54.00       15.50        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3