Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230938           4          18          58          18           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000940404           1          15          57          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.76000e-07           2          32          60           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                             6.50       32.00       48.00       12.25        1.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6