Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229859           1          21          60          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947582           1          16          56          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.07000e-07           2          46          46           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             2.75       34.25       48.50       13.25        1.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9