Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228948           2          24          63          10           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936163           1          22          50          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.90000e-07           6          47          40           7           0        B9.5
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.25       36.75       46.50       11.75        0.75     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8