Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227806           3          32          56           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912052           3          27          49          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.88000e-07           6          46          39           9           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       39.25       44.25        9.75        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4