Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229051           1          25          62          11           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929891           1          20          52          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.99000e-07           3          46          45           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       36.25       48.00       11.50        1.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B8.7