Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228508           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000925096           2          20          51          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.72000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             5.50       35.75       45.25       13.00        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7