Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228503           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000924487           2          20          51          25           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.75000e-07          11          46          36           7           0        B8.5
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             5.50       35.50       46.25       12.25        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.9