Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228949           2          24          63          10           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000910870           3          29          49          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   1.99000e-07           3          46          45           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.50       37.25       48.50        9.75        1.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3