Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229653           1          20          63          15           1        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908068           3          28          51          15           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   2.47000e-07           4          37          51           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.75       33.00       50.00       12.25        1.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9