Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229419           1          22          61          15           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000895147           3          33          48          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   2.39000e-07           3          31          57           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.25       34.00       50.75       11.25        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4