Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229646           1          20          63          15           1        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889044           2          35          50          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.41000e-07           3          33          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       31.00       54.50       10.75        1.00     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.6