Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230451           2          20          57          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000891925           2          33          50          13           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   2.63000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       34.50       50.75       10.25        1.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.1