Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230691           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868442           3          38          49          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.51000e-07           4          35          51          10           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             4.50       36.50       47.25       11.25        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6