Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234171           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000918288           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.88000e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       13.25       64.00       18.75        1.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8