Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235126           5          11          57          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951036           2          15          53          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.18000e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             3.50       13.50       62.25       18.75        2.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6