Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234620           5          10          60          22           3        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000952200           2          15          53          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.19000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.25       13.75       62.00       19.25        1.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0