Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232228           3          15          59          21           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000923985           2          20          52          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.63000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       20.75       59.00       17.25        1.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9