Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236794           2          12          60          21           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970568           3          17          54          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.30000e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       16.00       58.25       19.25        3.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0