Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233790           4          12          65          16           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936536           1          22          51          24           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.47000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.75       22.00       55.50       17.50        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1