Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236098           2          15          56          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929093           1          19          52          25           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.74000e-07           2           1          74          22           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.00       22.25       53.50       19.50        1.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5