Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228552           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833079           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.62000e-07          11          58          27           4           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             7.50       47.25       39.00        6.25        0.00     B9.0
 
realized                                                                                      B8.7