Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227150           2          32          52          14           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817569           9          44          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   1.29000e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             7.50       48.50       37.50        6.50        0.00     B7.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4