Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228517           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817440           9          43          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   1.71000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.50       43.50       41.50        7.50        0.00     B9.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.5