Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228985           2          24          62          11           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862054           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
GOES Xray  =   1.65000e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             6.00       35.00       47.00       11.25        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1