Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227982           3          33          56           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000848227           4          53          36           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.37000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             5.00       48.75       40.50        5.50        0.25     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2