Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228118           3          32          56           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861707           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
GOES Xray  =   1.74000e-07          11          45          37           7           0        B8.5
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             6.25       36.00       48.75        8.50        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3