Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227680           3          33          53          11           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824839           7          44          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.71000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             6.25       42.75       41.75        9.25        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2