Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226859           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796631          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.58000e-07          11          58          26           5           0        B7.1
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       49.25       34.75        7.25        0.00     B7.9
 
realized                                                                                      B6.7