Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225585           6          43          42           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000779497          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.24000e-07           7          62          31           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            11.00       53.00       31.25        4.75        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7