Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224545           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000763996          14          43          36           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   1.11000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            11.00       52.00       32.75        4.25        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3