Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224873           6          47          43           4           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000776666          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.13000e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            13.75       51.00       31.50        3.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5