Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223716           6          47          42           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000749188          19          43          30           8           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   8.31000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            20.25       48.50       27.25        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5