Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223239           6          52          35           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000738998          24          40          29           7           0        B4.2
GOES Xray  =   6.72000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.00       50.00       22.25        3.75        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1