Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223423           5          51          38           6           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741119          23          42          28           7           0        B5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.57000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            22.25       50.50       23.50        3.75        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B3.1