Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230698           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832964           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   4.81000e-07           2           1          70          26           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             6.75       32.25       46.50       13.75        0.75     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5