Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228369           3          26          62           9           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000811154          11          43          40           6           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   2.68000e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.75       38.75       49.25        6.25        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4